The commercial property sectors poised for investment success in 2025

As Australia's population continues to swell, certain segments of the commercial property market are set to benefit in 2025.

Blur of retail shoppers on escalators
Retail has been identified as a commercial property market segment to watch next year. (Image source: Shutterstock.com)

As we near the end of 2024, the commercial property market is buzzing with potential.

Investors who are ready to adapt to evolving conditions will find plenty of opportunities to thrive, especially as Australia’s economy stabilises and its population growth continues to fuel demand for real estate.

The past year was a masterclass in resilience. Inflation finally cooled, but the underlying or trimmed mean inflation remains above the RBA’s preferred 2 to 3 per cent range at 3.5 per cent.

The anticipated rate cuts have been slower to arrive, keeping investors on their toes. Meanwhile, Australia’s population surged by 3.8 per cent, creating a ripple effect that boosted demand for commercial spaces across sectors like healthcare, retail, and logistics.

Residential property faced challenges in some regions under high interest rates, but certain commercial property sectors stood out as reliable performers, delivering strong yields and growth.

What’s ahead for commercial in 2025?

Investors can expect the broader economy to bring a mix of stability and opportunity.

Interest rates may not drop significantly until late 2025, but the mere expectation of rate cuts is already driving market optimism.

This optimism, combined with Australia’s thriving population growth, particularly in urban centres, is set to fuel demand for well-located commercial assets.

Adding to the momentum is a surge in business confidence.

Nearly 90 per cent of businesses are predicting revenue growth in the coming year.

With tenants eager to expand and upgrade, investors can benefit from properties tailored to modern needs, such as tech-enabled offices, healthcare hubs, and tourism-linked retail spaces.

Certain sectors are primed for breakout growth.

Healthcare and education are expected to shine, supported by investments in hospitals, medical centres and university campuses.

Tourism is also making a roaring comeback, with regional hotspots attracting international and domestic visitors.

Retail, once challenged by e-commerce, is evolving into vibrant spaces blending lifestyle, dining and experiences, a trend that savvy investors should watch closely.

The investment obstacles to overcome

Investors need to be aware that no commercial market segment is without its hurdles.

High construction costs and ongoing labour shortages are expected to limit the supply of new commercial properties.

For investors, this tight supply will mean greater competition for high quality assets. Success in this environment will require acting swiftly, conducting thorough due diligence, and thinking strategically about long-term potential.

Timing is everything. Investors who secure high-demand assets early will enjoy the twin benefits of stable rental yields and long-term capital growth.

Diversification is equally critical—consider exploring assets in emerging sectors like logistics hubs or mixed-use spaces that cater to the hybrid work trend.

With a resilient economy, booming population, and thriving business sentiment, the stage is set for a transformative year in property investment.

Article Q&A

What commercial property sectors will perform best in 2025?

Certain sectors are primed for breakout growth in 2025. Healthcare and education are expected to shine, supported by investments in hospitals, medical centres and university campuses.

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