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August 12, 2011

Australians continue to stash their cash


It seems many Australians have bid farewell to the days of excessive and frivolous spending as a new era of conservatism takes hold in an environment of global economic uncertainty.

BY MICHAEL YARDNEY

It wasn’t that long ago that most of us were living beyond our means, chalking up credit card debt and treating the equity in our hones as an ATM as we became caught in the grip of mass consumerism.

However a new survey by The Boston Consulting Group (BCG) has revealed that now one in two Australians plan to reduce discretionary spending over the next 12 months and are saving their pennies – just like our parents did in the "good ol’ days".

And this will reflect on their intention to buy property as either a home or investment, which will of course impact on property prices.

According to the survey almost half of us (48 per cent) intend to pull in the purse strings in the coming year, as opposed to only 10 per cent who plan to spend more and 42 per cent who are happy to continue with their current rate of spending.

Interestingly, the BCG consumer sentiment report revealed that the only other two nations who were as reluctant to spend their hard earned cash were the United Kingdom and Greece. Of course since the survey was taken things have taken a turn for the worse economically.

While this increasing tendency to save rather than spend will leave retailers with a bitter taste in their mouth and lead to tough times in what is already proving to be a very slow period for that sector, it’s good news for the overall economic health of Australia and for the average Australian’s home budget, which will be in better shape to handle any speed bumps in the economy or future increases in interest rates.

One side effect of lower consumer spending will be to help keep inflation under control which in turn will reduces the likelihood of interest rates rising in the near future, providing homeowners and property investors with some breathing space as we head into uncertain economic times.

Of course the question remains – will this desire to save catch on and continue into the future, given our underlying love of spending?

According to James Goth, leader of BCG’s consumer practice in Australia and New Zealand, their research highlights a shift in values from "conspicuous consumption to conscientious consumption".

"It’s not just about the hip pocket, it’s about it being ethical to not waste money and those that are spending up are doing so for ethical reasons, rather than for status," he says.

"The GFC (global financial crisis) has led to a shift in attitudes in spending and an element of that is a shift from carefree spending."

Of the 1400 Australian respondents to the survey, 47 per cent admitted to being directly impacted by the GFC and 45 per cent said they felt anxious about the future.

While this number is smaller than those affected overseas, it has turned us into a nation of savers, rather

than spenders. And not surprising really, given that media reports of troubled property markets, rising cost of living and unstable overseas economies are bombarding us daily.

While our property markets have slowed down, they haven’t stopped – we’re still moving house because we’re still getting married, having babies or getting divorced. And savvy investors are still buying properties, but fewer people are doing so and that’s reflecting in fewer property sales and flatter prices.

It’s just the current stage of the property cycle and this too shall pass. But in the meantime, smart property investors with a long-term focus are taking the opportunity to buy counter-cyclically, a proven property strategy that has created substantial property fortunes for savvy investors.

And as the economic woes gather pace around the world and the stock markets tumble, it’s likely that more investors will look for a safe haven for their money, and put it into property. After all that’s what they did after the GFC in 2008 and the great stock market crash of 1997.

Michael Yardney is the director of Metropole Property Investment Strategists, a best-selling author and one of Australia’s leading experts in wealth creation through property. Subscribe to his e-magazine at www.propertyupdate.com.au.


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2 Comments

  1. How is it that property investors have the magic ability to throw highly-positive spin on almost any negative economic situation? Property investors are full of hope and wishful thinking at the moment. They will cling to just about any argument that gives them hope that house prices could soon rise.

    - Stock market is tumbling…”investors will get scared of shares and seek a safe haven and buy property, house prices will rise”

    - Stock market is rising…”investors holding shares will want to diversify their investments and buy property, house prices will rise”

    - Interest Rates are rising…”rent will go up, more people will stop renting and buy instead, house prices will rise”

    - Interest Rates are falling…”more investors/home buyers will enter the market, house prices will rise”

    - House prices are rising…”investors/home buyers will buy for fear of missing the boat, house prices will rise”

    - House Prices are falling…”yields will increase, thus more investors will buy, house prices will rise”

    I could keep going, but everyone can see where I’m coming from. Australian property investors must either be the largest mass group of optimists, or a very easily influenced group of brainwashed individuals who lack the cruicial ability to call a ‘spade a spade’. The successful investors are the ones who sold out in the heat of the market and are now sitting back quietly from the sidelines to watch this awful mess unfold. Waiting patiently with cash.

    P.S. To the author of this article – the 2008 GFC did NOT cause people to buy houses as a ‘safe haven from the sharemarket’. The housing market actually started to tank heavily shortly after the sharemarket plummeted in 2008, until artifical stimulus was implemented which brought ahead many years of future sales. This caused the brief but sharp rise in house prices in 2009/early 2010. You know that and most of your readers know that, so don’t patronise your readers.

    Comment by Allan — August 18, 2011 @ 8:23 pm

  2. I agree with the previous comment. We are at the end of the long term stimulus driven housing boom. I noticed the author’s company has been increasingly active in advertising for their seminars and books lately in various sources, a sign of tough business conditions for them. Wait 3-5 years if they are still in the business i’ll believe more of what he claims. Right now my money is safely in cash and pigs will fly before i mortgage another investment property.

    Comment by Richard — August 23, 2011 @ 2:48 pm

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